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Ron Paul: The Entire Economic System is Subprime

Ron Paul questions Ben Bernanke - 11/08/2007 - Hearing of the Joint Economic Committee - The Economic Outlook The best way to I could describe the problems that we face here in this country, as well as the problem that the Federal Reserve faces, is that we're indeed between a rock and a hard place, because we have a serious problem. We don't talk much about how we got here. We talk about how we're going to patch it up. The bubble has been burst. We saw what happened after the NASDAQ bubble burst. We don't ask how it was created. And then we have a housing bubble, and it's deflating and then spreading. And yet, nobody says, where does it come from? And what do -- what is the advice that you generally get? And that is, inflate the currency. They don't say, inflate the currency. They don't say, debase the currency. They don't say, devalue the currency. They don't say cheat the people who are saved. They say, lower the interest rate. But they never ask you, and I don't hear you say too often, the only way I can lower interest rates is I have to create more money. I have to lower the discount rate. I have to make it generous. I have to increase reserves. I have to lower the interest rates and fix the interest rates, overnight rates. And the only way you can do this is by increasing the money supply. And I see this as the problem that we don't want to talk about. Currently, of course, we can't follow the money supply with M3, but we can follow one of your statistics, which is the MZM, the ready cash available. And we see that inflation is alive and well. That -- that money supply figure is going up about 20 percent annualized. And this -- this just means that the dollar gets weaker. And everybody says, well, the dollar is -- that's great. The dollar weaker, we're going to have exports. And that is a fallacy. Maybe for a month or two, but it just invites inflation. And unless we get down to the bottom of it and define what inflation is, and not look at only prices -- this was taught by the free market economists all through the 20th century. They said, beware, they will increase the money supply but they will make you concentrate on prices, and they will you CPIs and PPIs and they'll fudge those figures, and they'll talk about wage and prices controls to solve our problems. And we ignored the fundamental flaw, and that is, that not only have we had a subprime market in housing, the whole -- the whole economic system is subprime in that we have artificially low interest rates. And it wasn't under your -- your tenure in office. It's been going on for 10 years or longer, and now we're bearing the fruits of -- fruits of that policy. I mean, a 1 percent interest rate, overnight rate, and that's not a distortion. Instead of looking at these -- the price, the consumer prices, which nobody in this country really believes, we need to talk about the distortion, the mal- investment, the misdirection, the bad information that is gotten from artificially low interest rates. In many ways, some people refer to you as a price fixer, you know, because you fix interest rates. The market is powerful, and usually overwhelms and does come into play, but when the Fed fixes an interest rate at 1 percent, that is price fixing. At the end of your testimony, you suggested that we should address this housing crisis, and we should have rules that would address deceptive lending practices. And I just think that is not the answer at all. The real deception is when we distort the value of money, when we create money out of thin air. We have no savings. We get their so-called capital, there is money available, but it comes from what you have to do, and the pressure is put on you. So I think we have to get back to the very fundamentals of where this problem comes from. And the bubbles occur when we have this mal-investment, and the creation of new money. So my question boils down to this: How in the world can we expect to solve the problems of inflation; that is, the increase in supply of money, with more inflation?

Author: PopulistParty
Keywords: ron-paul federal-reserve ben-bernanke subprime economy economics inflation
Added: December 26, 2008


Nouriel Roubini: 'There Is a Global Deflationary Risk'

Central bankers around the world are pulling out all the stops in order to combat a severe economic downturn that threatens to get even worse."There is a global deflationary risk," says Nouriel Roubini, economics professor at NYU Stern School and chairman of RGE Monitor. "That's what central bankers are worried about."In Europe today, the ECB and Bank of England slashed rates by greater than expected levels. Meanwhile, the Fed and Bank of Japan are taking "unorthodox actions" to pump liquidity into their economies. Both central banks are engaged in "quantitative easing," meaning rates are effectively zero regardless of what the official policy is."The Fed is trying to preemptively avoid a deflation trap [which] is very dangerous," Roubini says. "Whether they'll be successful or not, I don't know."The problem, he says, is there's going to be a "severe recession" both in the U.S. and globally in 2009. That means falling demand for goods and increased slack in the labor markets. That will put further downward pressure on prices and raise the risk of outright deflation, which is defined as: A persistent decline in general price levels, typically accompanied by a severe contraction in employment and economic output."It's hard to undo the structural factor" of falling demand meeting a supply glut of goods and services, he says, recommending the following policy actions to try and stem the deflationary tide: A "huge" fiscal stimulus package: $500-$700B. Recapitalize the banks faster, i.e., get TARP money distributed sooner. Rather than focusing on mortgage rates, reduce the face value of debt owed by "insolvent homeowners" in order for them to be able to spend again and avoid a "tsunami of foreclosures."

Author: vastgoedzeepbel
Keywords: Nouriel Roubini global deflation
Added: December 8, 2008


CSULB Economic Stabilization Act Panel Discussion

Housing prices are crashing. Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Washington Mutual, have been acquired for pennies on the dollars. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are under Federal Government conservatorship. U.S. Commercial banks have tightened lending standards, and a credit crunch threatens global financial markets. All of this stokes fears of an economic slowdown that many believe could result in a deep recession for the U.S. and the rest of the world. The U.S. Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve Board developed a plan for a $700 billion bailout of Wall Street, and this bailout will be discussed by a panel of experts on the CSULB campus. The panel will discuss what caused the crisis, what the bailout means, what the implications of the bailout are, and how Main Street, not just Wall Street, is affected.

Author: AMPCENTER
Keywords: Economy Bailout economics debt federal reserve government wall street treasury fannie mae freddie mac banks bear stearns
Added: October 21, 2008





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